第十章经济周期理论第十章 经济周期理论一经济周期概念 二经济周期理论 三经济周期的预测 四本章回顾一经济周期概念 经济周期(business cycle)是指经济社会中有规律的总体波动表现为国民经济扩张与收缩的不断交替运动 经济周期包括四个阶段即扩张繁荣衰退萧条或者两个阶段两个转折点即谷底(trough)扩张(expansion)峰顶(peak)衰退(recession)一经济周期概念经济增

Third International Seminar on Early Warning and Business Cycle Indicators Third International Seminar on Early Warning and Business Cycle Indicators Third International Seminar on Early Warning a